(1)
|
年份 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
|
销售收入 |
7808.4 |
8433.07 |
9107.72 |
9836.34 |
10623.24 |
11154.40 |
|
EBTT |
574.74 |
620.41 |
670.04 |
723.64 |
781.54 |
820.61 |
|
- EBTT×T |
206.80 |
223.35 |
241.21 |
260.51 |
281.35 |
295.42 |
|
息前税后营业利润 |
367.95 |
397.06 |
428.83 |
463.13 |
500.15 |
525.19 |
|
-(资本性支出-折旧) |
(310-207)(1+8%) =111.24 |
120.14 |
129.75 |
140.13 |
151.34 |
0 |
|
营业流动资产 |
1952.1 |
2108.27 |
2276.93 |
2459.09 |
2655.81 |
2788.6 |
|
-营业流动资产增加 |
1952.17230×25% =144.6 |
156.17 |
168.66 |
182.16 |
196.72 |
132.79 |
|
企业实体现金流量 |
112.11 |
120.75 |
130.42 |
140.84 |
152.13 |
392.4 |
(2)计算公司价值
预测期的股权成本=7.5%+1.25×(13%-7.5%)=14.38%
预测期加权平均资本成本=14.38%×50%+9.5%×(1-36%)×50%=10.23%
稳定期的股权成本=7.5%+1×(13%-7.5%)=13%
稳定期加权平均资本成本=13%×75%+8.5%(1-36%)×25%=11.11%
|
企业实体现金流量 |
112.11 |
120.75 |
130.42 |
140.84 |
152.13 |
392.4 |
|
现值系数 |
0.907194 |
0.823001 |
0.746622 |
0.677331 |
0.61447 |
|
|
现值 |
101.7055 |
99.37738 |
97.3744 |
95.39526 |
93.47938 |
|
|
高增长阶段的现值合计 |
487.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
后续期现金流量的现值=×0.61447=3946.29